This was first posted on Facebook on 4th September 2019, with support from my Ko-Fi network.
I’ve repeatedly said here and on Twitter I didn’t think it would happen, but I was wrong:
There is going to be a general election in 2019. (Possibly, maybe, conceivably delayed til spring 2020, but if so only because the UK generally doesn’t hold elections in December/January because of weather issues, especially for outlying constituencies.)
I say this not because Boris Johnson has declared he wants one, but because Johnson is now in a fatally weak position: he has 289 MPs, even with the DUP on board he has only 299: and Labour (247), SNP (35), LibDems (15), ChUK (5), Plaid Cymru (4), and Green (1): adds up to 307.