This was first posted on Facebook on 19th November 2019, then updated on 13th December 2019, with support from my Ko-Fi network.
Written on 19th November 2019, as part of a series on tactical voting
I am not likely to consider constituencies in detail, because in practically all instances, if you live there, you know the constituency in far more detail than I could, and if you have a not-Tory incumbent, you should certainly know more than I do about whether they’re a good constituency MP.
But I do want to talk about Kensington.
In order for Boris Johnson to win a majority, he has to hold every seat the Tories won in 2017, and gain at least three more.
Election Polling is a useful website that lists the target and defence seats for each party in order of majority. Kensington is top of the Tory attack list: the Labour incumbent, Emma Dent Coad, won by 20 votes over the Tories in 2017, the very first time Kensington had ever had a Labour MP. The LibDems were a long way third, and have always – even when they were doing well – been third-place candidates in Kensington. If you are tactically-voting in Kensington, voting for Coad would be the right thing to do.