GE2019 Results: Rotten, Uncooked, Scottish, or LibLab?

This was first posted on Facebook on 18th November 2019, with support from my Ko-Fi network.

I have no idea which of these is most likely to happen in GE2019. But I’m pretty sure one of them will.

For the purposes of this scenario slicing: I’m assuming The Brexit Party Ltd wins no seats. It might, but I don’t think it will win *enough* to make any difference to the balance of power.

If on Friday 13th December we wake up to:

Writing About Brexit: the No to No Deal Brexit Bill

This was first posted on Facebook on 4th September 2019, with support from my Ko-Fi network.

Yesterday (see both of yesterday’s posts, here and here), Boris Johnson became the first Prime Minister since Archibald Primrose in 1894 to lose his first vote in the House of Commons. (And all of the Primrose government’s legislation was blocked by the House of Lords.)

Writing About Brexit: No Deal Brexit inevitable

This was first posted on Facebook on 29th August 2019, and repostd here with support from my Ko-Fi network.

Why I think we all need to start prepping for No Deal Brexit (or take up the prepping again if you were prepping for Brexit earlier in the year):

Boris Johnson has petitioned the Queen (who had no constitutional option but to agree) to prorogue Parliament – at earliest Monday 9th September, at latest Thursday 12th September.

The first day on which Corbyn could call for a no-confidence vote against Boris Johnson in Monday 2nd September, but he would be unlikely to do so as MPs are on their way back from their constituencies on Mondays. It is clear that the nascent Remain alliance – such as it is – isn’t yet together enough to have a coherent proposal which Tory MPs furious at Johnson may back even at the cost of losing their seats in the next General Election. But supposing they all do some hard thinking over the weekend (“Depend upon it, sir, when a man knows he is to be hanged in a fortnight, it concentrates his mind wonderfully”) and conclude on a Plan – a caretaker-PM, a temporary government supported by 320 MPs (or whatever – enough to keep voting down Johnson’s Tories & a handful of diehard Brexiteers of other parties and none): and a process to stop no-deal Brexit.