This was first posted on Facebook on 18th November 2019, with support from my Ko-Fi network.
I have no idea which of these is most likely to happen in GE2019. But I’m pretty sure one of them will.
For the purposes of this scenario slicing: I’m assuming The Brexit Party Ltd wins no seats. It might, but I don’t think it will win *enough* to make any difference to the balance of power.
If on Friday 13th December we wake up to:
Officially, the general election campaign for 12th December started at a minute past midnight this morning.
We have no MPs – only Prospective Parliamentary Candidates, aka PPCs. Even full lists of the candidates for each constituency won’t be public til Saturday next.
Jacob Rees Mogg yesterday made a crass and disgusting remark to the effect that the people who died in Grenfell Tower were obviously not as smart as people like himself, or they would have ignored what the emergency services told them and left the building. Tory defences of Mogg’s remark have amounted to “Well, JRM is much smarter than the kind of people who live in Grenfell Tower.”
Sir Lindsay Hoyle is the new Speaker of the House.
Technically speaking this was more of a coffin than a Ko-Fi day – I picked up a cold at work, and have been having a miserable weekend. I hope you all had a great time, whatever you were doing.
On 24th July this year, Boris Johnson became Prime Minister.
Due to a job that ate up a lot of my hours, I had not been blogging here: but in August, as things turned both weird and strange and complicated in UK politics around Brexit, I began clarifying things for myself by writing longer and longer posts on Facebook, initially just for my friends and then later as public posts as friends asked if they could share or link to them.
This was first posted on Facebook on 1st October 2019, with support from my Ko-Fi network.Oh, apparently the “we won’t have a border, we’ll have customs clearing stations EITHER SIDE of the border” has been and gone.
Boris Johnson says this plan was a non-plan.
This was first posted on Facebook on 1st October 2019, with support from my Ko-Fi network.Tomorrow is Boris Johnson’s first PMQ since he unlawfully attempted to prorogue Parliament.
However, rather than handle PMQ himself, Boris Johnson has told off Dominic Raab, the former Brexit Secretary, now the Foreign Secretary, to take PMQ for him: Johnson plans to enjoy the last day of the Tory conference and give the closing speech, not be bothered with questions from Jeremy Corbyn and Ian Blackford.
When Boris Johnson was Mayor of London, he appointed multiple deputy Mayors to do his work for him. This looks like more of the same.
This was first posted on Facebook on 30th September 2019, with support from my Ko-Fi network.Ian Birrell is a former David Cameron speechwriter. He’s now deputy-editor at the paper formerly known as The Independent.
Ian Birrell says, in today’s column in the i, that a “well-placed source” told him that before the Supreme Court’s verdict against the goverrment last week, “The Queen had, for the first time in her reign, sought advice on sacking a prime minister”.
There are two especially interesting things about this.
First, the Queen doesn’t publicly interfere in politics. Constitutionally, she can’t. When acting as Monarch, she does what the government of the day tells her. When the outgoing PM recommends the incoming PM to her as having “the confidence of the Commons”, she appoints him PM because that’s her function. When instructed by the PM to prorogue Parliament, she follows instructions, because, again, that’s her function. Any interference is strictly private and takes place at the weekly briefing the PM is required to give the Queen – an hour’s private access during which the PM is required to tell the Queen what’s really happening and the Queen – is not supposed to say anything, but anything she does say is strictly, absolutely, totally, completely confidential.
If the Queen really did contemplate interfering in politics to the extent of dismissing Boris Johnson as Prime Minister when she had not received a request to do so, that’s actually serious.